智能用电互动化业务的运营风险评估分析  

Risk Assessment on Interactive Intelligent Power Utilization Business Mode

作　　者：王军[1] 李逸驰[2,3] 武文广[1] 赵奇 刘涛 张琪 

机构地区：[1]国网电力科学研究院南瑞集团公司,江苏南京211106 [2]国网苏州供电公司,江苏苏州215004 [3]河海大学能源与电气学院,江苏南京210098 [4]国网石家庄供电公司,河北石家庄050061 [5]北京科东电力控制系统有限责任公司,北京100192

出　　处：《电网与清洁能源》2016年第6期1-6,40,共7页Power System and Clean Energy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51107032);国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)课题(2013AA050601);国家电网公司科技项目"支撑互动用电服务的用电信息采集系统技术研究及应用"(524608150061)~~

摘　　要：互动化是未来智能电网发展的主要方向。提出基于多层次模糊评价法的双向互动服务商业化运营模式风险评估模型。给出双向互动服务商业化运营模式风险评估的一般原则,并据此提出基于多层次模糊综合评价法的商业化运营模式风险评估方法。针对新型双向互动服务,给出其风险评估的基本技术路线。最后,以电动汽车充换电的合作和独立运营模式为例进行风险评估。结果表明,电动汽车充换电的合作运营模式优于独立运营模式。Interaction represents the future development trend of smart grids. Based on multi-layer fuzzy method, this paper proposes a risk assessment model of the commercial operation mode offering interactive service. The general prin- ciple of the risk assessment model is given, and the risk assessment method of the commercial operation mode based on multi-layer fuzzy method is proposed. The basic technical routes are obtained in the light of new interactive services. The proposed risk evaluation method has been verified on the assessment of the cooperation charging and independent opera- tion modes of electric vehicles respectively. The results show that the cooperation charging mode is superior to the indepen- dent operation mode.

关 键 词：互动化 商业模式 多层次模糊评价法 运营风险评估 电动汽车 

分 类 号：TM71[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]