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机构地区:[1]安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠233030
出 处:《齐齐哈尔大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2016年第7期51-54,共4页Journal of Qiqihar University(Philosophy & Social Science Edition)
基 金:安徽财经大学研究生科研创新基金项目(ACYC2015087)
摘 要:新型城镇化是国家现代化必经之路。党的十八大提出,要积极稳妥推进城镇化,走中国特色新型城镇化道路。城镇化自从提出以来就备受关注,而影响城镇化进程的因素有很多,近年来国内外学者对于金融发展、金融深化、经济增长与城镇化之间的关系研究较多,理论较为成熟。然而关于金融自由化与城镇化之间关系文献研究较少。文章在借鉴前人文献研究基础上,运用VAR模型,选取中国1978年至2014年的数据,实证分析了金融自由化与城镇化之间的关系。实证结果表明:金融自由化是城镇化的格兰杰原因,金融自由化改革能够促进城镇化发展。最后,针对中国城镇化发展提出了相应的建议。New- type urbanization is the only way for the modernization of the country. The party's Eighteen Congress put forward that we should promote urbanization actively and steadily,and take the road of new- type urbanization with Chinese characteristics. Urbanization has attracted much attention since it was put forward,and there are many factors that affect the process of urbanization. In recent years,scholars at home and abroad for more research on relationship between financial development and financial deepening,economic growth and urbanization. The theory has been quite mature. However,there are few literatures about the relationship between financial liberalization and urbanization. On the basis of the previous literature research,this paper empirically analyzes the relationship between financial liberalization and urbanization,using VAR model and selecting data from 1978 to 2014 in China. The empirical results reveal that financial liberalization is the Grainger reason of urbanization; financial liberalization can promote the development of urbanization. Finally,according to the China urbanization development,we put forward some corresponding suggestions.
关 键 词:城镇化 金融自由化 VAR模型 主成分分析 Granger非因果关系检验
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