基于风险视角的地铁工程项目融资方案选择研究  

Study of Financing Scheme Selection of Metro Projects Based on Risk Assessment

作　　者：洪文霞[1] 杨帆[1] 魏小朝 

机构地区：[1]青岛理工大学管理学院,山东青岛266520

出　　处：《隧道建设》2016年第7期782-786,共5页Tunnel Construction

摘　　要：融资是地铁工程项目获取资金的重要途径,合理的融资方案是地铁工程项目取得成功的前提。针对融资方案的优选问题,从风险分析的角度出发,采用WBS-RBS法对地铁工程项目融资方案的风险因子进行分析,并通过德尔菲技术构建地铁工程项目融资方案风险评估的指标体系。应用灰关联熵方法计算各指标权重,提出基于加权灰靶理论的融资方案比选模型。最后以青岛地铁5号线为例,验证该模型的可行性,同时也为同类地铁工程项目的融资决策提供参考。Rational financing scheme is the key to achieve success of Metro projects. The risk factors of Metro project financing scheme are analyzed by WBS-RBS method; and the risk assessment index system of Metro project financing scheme is established by Delphi technique. Every index weight is calculated by grey relation entropy method; and the financing scheme selection model based on weight coefficient grey target theory is proposed. The construction practice of Qingdao Metro Line No. 5 shows that the model is feasible. The results can provide reference for financing decision of similar projects in the future.

关 键 词：风险评估 融资方案选择 三角模糊数 灰关联熵方法 灰靶决策 

分 类 号：U45[建筑科学—桥梁与隧道工程]