我国20个重点城市群经济发展与环境污染联动关系研究  

Research on the Linkage Relationship between the Economic Development and Environmental Pollution of 20 Key Urban Agglomeration in China

作　　者：王伟[1] 张常明[1] 陈璐[1] 

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学政府管理学院,北京100081

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2016年第7期70-81,共12页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目:国际创新城市构建与中国城市圈发展战略规划研究(12&ZD202);中国财政发展协同创新中心项目:中国城镇化战略进程中的地方政府行为研究(项目号:024050314002/004)

摘　　要：城市群被确立为国家新型城镇化的主体形态,其战略地位日益重要。然而伴随城市群高速度、高密度、高强度的发展,城市群的经济发展与环境污染之间存在什么样的关系,能否给予分析与刻画,成为一个重要的科学命题。研究首先利用2013年我国20个重点城市群的经济发展与环境污染的相关统计数据进行聚类分析,继而利用2003-2013年各年的相关统计数据对各类城市群的环境库兹涅兹曲线进行拟合,从而从经济发展与环境污染联动的角度,对20个城市群类型进行识别划分,并定量刻画每类城市群的经济发展与环境污染的相关关系与发展拐点,最后基于发现,提出对我国城市群未来发展与规划编制实施的四方面建议。Nowadays urban agglomeration has become a main form of national urbanization with high density position growing increasingly significant. However,with the development of urban agglomeration under high speed,highdensity and high intensity,it becomes an important scientific proposition on what kind of relationship shall exist between economic development of urban agglomeration and environmental pollution and how to make proper and efficient analysis and characterization. In this research,the author firstly identified and classified 20 urban agglomeration types and made quantitative analysis on the relationship between economic development and environmental pollution of each type and its inflection points,from the perspective of focusing on the linkage relationship of the two factors. Aiming on this,the author firstly made clustering analysis by utilizing the statistics data of 20 key urban agglomerations＇ economic development and environmental pollution in year 2013; then made fitting analysis on the environmental Kuznets Curve of various urban agglomerations by utilizing the statistics data from year 2003 to year 2013. Finally,the author,based on the above mentioned research findings, makes recommendations from four aspects on the future development and planning implementation of our country＇s urban agglomeration.

关 键 词：城市群 经济发展 环境污染 联动关系 聚类拟合 库兹涅茨曲线 

分 类 号：F129.9[经济管理—世界经济]