生化恐怖袭击情境下引导疏散中行人行为仿真研究  

Study on simulation of pedestrian behaviors in guided evacuation under biochemical terrorist attack

作　　者：龙圣杰[1] 刘衍民[1] 隋杰[2] 

机构地区：[1]遵义师范学院数学与计算科学学院,贵州遵义563002 [2]中国科学院大学工程科学学院,北京100049

出　　处：《中国安全生产科学技术》2016年第7期174-179,共6页Journal of Safety Science and Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71461027);贵州省优秀青年科技人才培养对象专项资金项目(黔科合人字(2015)06号);贵州省自然科学基金项目(黔教合KY[2014]295);遵义市15851人才资助项目(2013年2014年);黔科合LH字[2016]7029号;国家重点基础研究发展规划项目(973计划)(2011CB706900);国家自然科学基金项目(61572459);北京市自然科学基金项目(9102022)

摘　　要：恐怖袭击事件发生在人员密集、环境复杂的公共场所时,极易造成大量的人员伤亡。为了研究行人行为特征对应急引导过程的影响,采集疏散行人行为特征数据以SPSS统计软件分析,并将分析结果导入基于社会力原理建立的疏散模型进行仿真实验。研究结果表明:行人的性别、受教育程度及疏散经验个体特征的差异对引导疏散的结果具有直接的影响,关系到引导疏散过程的成功与否。应急管理方案制定中,应针对性的为各类行人指定安全预案以及提供培训演练。Terrorist attack event happened in crowded , complex public places always result in numerous casualties .In order to study the impact of pedestrian behavior characteristics on the emergency guidance process , the data of behavior characteris-tics of evacuation pedestrian was collected and analyzed by SPSS statistical software , and the results were input into a evacua-tion model based on social force to conduct simulation experiment .The results showed that the difference in individual char-acteristics such as gender , education level and evacuation experience of pedestrian have a direct effect on the results of guided evacuation , even relating to the success of guided evacuation process or not .Therefore , in the formation of emergency management scheme , the safety plan should be targeted and the training and exercise should be provided to various pedestrian accordingly .

关 键 词：恐怖袭击 应急引导 行为特征 仿真 

分 类 号：X928.03[环境科学与工程—安全科学]