江苏省水泥制造业经济发展与大气环境变化相关性分析  

Study on the Impact of Cement Manufacturing Industry on the Atmospheric Environment in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：田颖[1] 沈红军[1] 

机构地区：[1]江苏省环境监测中心,江苏南京210036

出　　处：《环境监控与预警》2016年第4期13-16,45,共5页Environmental Monitoring and Forewarning

基　　金：江苏省第四期"333工程"培养基金资助项目(BRA2014376)

摘　　要：选取了2001—2014年的相关数据,分析了江苏省水泥制造业的经济发展、资源能源消耗和污染物排放特征,同时对行业经济发展与大气环境污染变化进行了相关性分析。结果表明,2001—2014年,江苏省水泥制造业工业总产值呈现波动增加趋势,工业煤炭消费量呈现波动增加趋势,投入产出比呈现逐年波动上升态势;SO2的排放强度呈现波动下降的趋势,低于全省平均水平;烟粉尘的排放强度波动下降,高于全省平均水平;NOX的排放强度呈现波动上升的趋势,高于全省平均水平;SO2与烟粉尘排放量与GDP均高度呈负相关,回归曲线模拟基本类似U型的左半段,随着GDP的增加,SO2和烟粉尘的排放量呈现下降趋势。Based on the data of 2001-2014, this paper analyzed the economic development, resources and energy consumption, and the characteristics of pollutant emissions of cement manufacturing industry in Jiangsu province. At the same time, the correla- tions between industrial economic development and environmental pollution were analyzed. The results showed that the total industri- al output value and coal consumption of cement manufacturing industry in Jiangsu province presented a fluctuating increase trend from 2001 to 2014, and the input-output ratio was gradually rising year by year. The emission intensity of SO2 showed a downward trend, which was lower than the provincial average. The emission intensity of smoke-dust and NOx fluctuated downward and up- ward, respectively, both of which were higher than the provincial average. SO2 and smoke-dust emissions were highly negatively cor- related with GDP, and the regression curves were similar to the left half of the U model, that was, emissions of SO2 and smoke-dust decreased with the increase of GDP.

关 键 词：水泥制造行业 大气环境 相关性分析 江苏省 

分 类 号：X520[环境科学与工程—环境工程]