中国燃气行业天然气利用状况及发展趋势  

Utilization and development of natural gas in China's city gas industry

作　　者：刘勇[1] 赵忠德[1] 周淑慧[1] 武松[1] 郭杰[1] 赵志诚 

机构地区：[1]中国石油天然气股份有限公司规划总院 [2]中石油昆仑燃气有限公司

出　　处：《国际石油经济》2016年第6期52-60,共9页International Petroleum Economics

摘　　要：2010-2014年中国燃气行业中天然气在供消两侧的规模均保持较快增长。2014年燃气行业天然气消费量1027亿立方米,主要集中在环渤海、长三角、东南沿海等高端市场。截至2014年底,中国天然气气化人口3.02亿,平均城镇人口气化率40%,天然气管道长度占燃气管道总长度的92.2%;但储气能力仅长三角地区达到最低标准。预计2016年中国燃气行业天然气需求量约1167亿立方米,2020年将达到1623亿立方米,占全国天然气总需求量的50%左右。"十三五"期间,城市燃气天然气增量空间约536亿立方米,年均增长107亿立方米,年均增速8.3%;天然气消费仍将集中在环渤海、长三角、东南沿海、中南和西南地区。目前国内燃气领域空白市场有限,企业"兼并整合"和区域"精耕细作"将成为"十三五"期间燃气行业发展的主旋律,"互联网+燃气"也正成为燃气行业的新兴业态。The scale of China＇s city gas industry in the supply and consumption of natural gas maintained a rapid growth during 2010-2014. Natural gas consumption was 102.7 billion cubic meters in city gas industry, mainly in high-end markets such as the area around Bohai, Yangtze River Delta and South-East coastal areas in 2014. China＇s natural gas gasification population was 3.02 billion with 40% of the average urban population gasification. The length of city gas pipeline was 92.2% of the total length but only Yangtze River Delta region met minimum standards by the end of 2014. China＇s natural gas demand is expected to reach 116.7 billion cubic meters and up to 163 billion cubic meters in 2020, about 50% of the national totality. During the 13 th Five-Years period, natural gas consumption increment of city gas will be almost 53.6 billion cubic meters with 10.7 billion cubic meters increase per year and average annual growth rate of 8.3%. Natural gas consumption will be remaining in the area around Bohai, Yangtze River Delta, Southeast coast region, Mid-south region and South-West areas. Currently the market gap in domestic city gas is limited and companies＇ ＂merger and integration＂ and regional ＂intensive cultivation＂ will become the main theme of gas industry＇s development during the 13 th Five-Years period as well as a new business model of ＂Internet ＋ Gas＂ for gas industry.

关 键 词：城市燃气 天然气 城镇人口 气化率 燃气企业 接驳费 

分 类 号：F426.22[经济管理—产业经济]