中国—东盟自由贸易区的贸易效应分析  

An Analysis on the Trade Effect in CAFTA

作　　者：谭秀阁[1] 王珏[1] 

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《区域经济评论》2016年第4期134-139,共6页Regional Economic Review

基　　金：西北大学研究生自主创新项目"中国出口二元边际效应及其作用机制研究"(YZZ13049)

摘　　要：中国—东盟自由贸易区是中国最重要的区域经济合作组织之一,其从初步设想到建成经历了漫长过程。在正式建成且运行一段时间之后,依托中国—东盟自由贸易区现状分析,通过收集1992—2013年相关数据,采用巴拉萨模型对中国—东盟自由贸易区的贸易效应进行分析的结果显示,中国—东盟自由贸易区的发展潜力还没能得到完全发挥,经贸合作的优势还没能得到完全的显现。东盟是非常有潜力的市场,中国还需抓住东盟内部各个成员国的特点,在进一步加强与五个老成员国的经贸合作的同时,深入挖掘与其他五个成员国的深入合作。CAFTA（China-ASEAN free trade area） is one of China＇s most important regional economic cooperationorganization. It＇s a long time to establish the free trade area. After its establishment the author analysis the presentsituation of CAFTA and tests its trade effect with Balassa model based on the data from 1992 to 2013. We find thatCAFTA has great potential and its trade cooperation advantage has not been fully reflected. ASEAN is a very potentialmarket, China needs to seize the characteristics of the various member countries within ASEAN, to further strengtheneconomic and trade cooperation in the old five member states and dig-depth cooperation with five other members at thesame time members.

关 键 词：中国—东盟自由贸易区 巴拉萨模型 贸易效应 

分 类 号：F741[经济管理—国际贸易]