基于RES方法的煤层自燃危险性预测模型  

Prediction model of coal spontaneous combustion danger based on RES approach

作　　者：黄琪嵩[1] 陈丁[2] 王海彦[2] 郝敬博 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)资源与安全工程学院,北京100083 [2]中国矿业大学(北京)地质科学与测绘工程学院,北京100083

出　　处：《河南理工大学学报（自然科学版）》2016年第5期620-624,共5页Journal of Henan Polytechnic University（Natural Science）

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51174210);高等学校博士学科专项科研基金资助项目(20120023110014)

摘　　要：为对开采煤层的自燃危险性进行有效预测,引入岩石工程系统理论,综合分析各因素之间的相互作用关系,构建交互作用矩阵,并进行编码。通过因果分析图对各影响因素的参数优势和交互作用强度进行定性分析,同时建立基于岩石工程系统理论的开采煤层自燃危险性预测模型,并选用已知样本对模型预测结果进行验证。结果表明,该预测模型为开采煤层自燃危险性预测提供了一种方法,可靠性较好,有应用价值。In order to get an effective prediction of coal spontaneous combustion in coal mine,a powerful method rock engineering systems（RES） is presented,which is a comprehensive approach to analyze the relationship of all factors.The interaction matrix was utilized to describe the general concept of the influences.Meanwhile,the weights and the parameter interaction situation of the factors contributing to spontaneous combustion are evaluated by the cause-effect（C-E） plot.Then,a new model for prediction of coal spontaneous combustion is presented based upon the basic concepts of rock engineering systems.Finally,several samples of spontaneous combustion occurred in coal mine were used to validate the prediction performance of new model.The results show that rock engineering system is a valuable new tool for predicting the coal spontaneous combustion,which suggested relatively good concordance in coal mine,and it is valuable for applications.

关 键 词：煤层自燃 岩石工程系统 交互作用矩阵 危险性预测 

分 类 号：TD752[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]