中国胶合板出口市场结构风险测算  

A Study of Export Market Structure Risks of China's Plywood

作　　者：孙志宏[1] 田瑞[1] 王旭[1] 曹媛媛[1] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古农业大学经济管理学院,呼和浩特010019

出　　处：《林业经济问题》2016年第4期350-354,384,共6页Issues of Forestry Economics

摘　　要：基于2004-2014年的数据,选取出口市场集中度指数、出口市场匹配性指数、出口多样性指数、出口均匀度指数、收益结构变动指数以及劳伦斯指数,构建中国胶合板出口市场结构评价体系,利用功效系数法和主成分分析法测算综合功效系数。结果显示：中国胶合板出口市场结构风险较大,其中2008-2013年风险增大趋势明显,2014年出口市场结构风险有所降低,鉴于此从资源、产品、市场和贸易预警机制角度为降低出口市场结构风险提出合理建议。Based on the data during the period of 2004 ~ 2014,it constructed an evaluation index system of the export market structure of China＇s plywood,including Hirschman index,matching index,diversity index,equality index,income structure change index and lawrence index. Then evaluates the comprehensive efficacy coefficient through the efficiency coefficient method and principal component analysis. Results show that the structure of export market was in a high risk state,the trend of the risk of the export market structure was clearly increasing from 2009 to 2013,and the export market structure improved a little in 2014. Then it proposed strategies to reduce the risk of export market structure through the views of resource,production and market.

关 键 词：胶合板 出口市场结构 主成分分析 功效系数法 

分 类 号：F326.27[经济管理—产业经济]