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出 处:《中国人口·资源与环境》2016年第8期49-55,共7页China Population,Resources and Environment
摘 要:本研究基于阿玛蒂亚·森(Sen)可行能力理论,运用2008-2013年中国31个省(市)面板数据,采取模糊数学理论与主成分因子分析法测度中国社会福利指数。通过理论与实证研究发现:第一,东中西部地区社会福利指数差异性较大,其波动呈不规则趋势,且社会福利与经济发展呈脱钩状况。第二,计算MI与GC指数发现,各地区社会福利指数之间存在正的空间相关性,且东中西部地区社会福利指数存在空间集聚与扩散现象。第三,利用动态空间面板模型实证检验发现,社会福利指数存在时滞性,且城镇化率与外贸出口占比越高,越有利于提高社会福利水平,而经济增长与工业化对社会福利影响力相对较低。鉴于此,为有效提高中国社会福利,使经济发展与社会福利二者相匹配,本研究提出以下政策建议:首先,学术界应改变传统的福利经济学思维体系,将更多的研究重点放在功能自由与能力自由两方面。其次,各地区应加强区域间交流合作,减少"以邻为壑"现象,促进区域发展一体化。最后,中央与地方政府应转变经济发展模式与理念,加大民生与环境保护方面投入,进而提高居民生活质量。This paper, based on Sen Capability Approach, uses fuzzy mathematics and factor analysis method to measure Chinese social welfare index in different provinces in 2008 - 2013. This paper drew following conclusions. First, social welfare index in eastern, middle and western regions has a great difference, the fluctuation trend curve is irregular, and social welfare and economic development can not match well. Second, Through calculating MI and GC index, it found that social welfare index in different procinces has a positive spatial correlation, The index in eastern coastal region has significantly spatial aggregation phenomenon, but the index in the western region has the significantly spatial diffusion phenomenon. Third, through dynamic spatial panel model, empirical analysis showed that social welfare index had time lag phenomenon, urbanization and export have a positive corelation to social welfare, but economic growth and industrialization have a smaller impact on social welfare. Based on this, in order to improve Chinese social welfare and balance economic development and social welfare, this study proposes the following policy suggestions: First, academia should change traditional welfare economics thinking system, and put more attention on functional and ability freedom. Second, different regions should strengthen exchanges and cooperation,reduce the ' beggar try neighbor' phenomenon, and accelerate the integration of regional development. Finally, the central and local governments should change economic development model and concept, increase investment in people' s livelihood and environmental protection, and improve the quality of life.
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