皖北区域交通基础设施与经济增长实证研究  

An Empirical Study on Northern Anhui Regional Transport Infrastructure and Economic Growth

作　　者：花中东[1] 周杨雯倩 

机构地区：[1]铜陵职业技术学院,安徽铜陵244000 [2]上海财经大学,上海200433

出　　处：《重庆交通大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第4期47-53,共7页Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University:Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：2014年安徽省高校人文社科研究重点项目"皖北区域社会公共服务一体化发展研究"(SK2014A409);2016年安徽省高校优秀青年人才支持计划重点项目"皖北区域城乡一体化发展与居民消费结构影响"(gxyq ZD2016588)

摘　　要：皖北地区因交通条件限制,发展面临很大制约,振兴皖北,加快皖北地区交通基础设施建设势在必行。运用该区域时间序列数据,构建交通基础设施与区域经济增长及其动态面板模型,研究表明,皖北区域的经济增长会带来地区客运量和货运量需求的快速增长,但客运量和货运量的增长却未必会导致皖北地区的经济增长,且具有滞后平稳效应。一个地区的经济增长是多方面因素综合作用的结果,据此为皖北地区交通基础设施建设提出可行性政策建言。Due to traffic conditions in Northern Anhui, its development is facing great constraints. To the revitalization of northern Anhui, it is imperative to accelerate the integration of transport infrastructure construction area. Using the time series data to construct the traffic infrastructure and the regional economic growth and its dynamic panel model indicate, the rapid growth in re-gional economic growth will bring about regional passenger and freight traffic demand, but the passenger volume and freight volume growth would not necessarily lead to economic growth in northern Anhui, which has the lag effect. The economic growth of a region is the result of many factors. The feasible policy suggestions for traffic infrastructure construction in northern Anhui are put forward.

关 键 词：皖北地区 交通基础设施 区域经济增长 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]