区域产业结构与能源结构低碳关联评价  

Evaluation of low-carbon correlation between regional industrial structure and energy structure

作　　者：许珊[1] 范德成[1] 王韶华[2] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001 [2]燕山大学经济管理学院,河北秦皇岛066004

出　　处：《哈尔滨工程大学学报》2016年第7期990-996,共7页Journal of Harbin Engineering University

基　　金：高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金项目(20122304110018);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(13YJA630016);黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(G201313);燕山大学青年教师自主研究计划课题(14SKA003);河北省自然科学基金项目(G2016203011)

摘　　要：为了探讨区域产业结构与能源结构的关联关系,以低碳为切入点,基于产业结构与能源结构关联的内涵,从低碳产出、低碳消耗、低碳能源、低碳排放等四个方面构建评价指标体系。基于最优组合赋权法和灰色关联分析法建立低碳关联模型,并对2000-2012年河北省产业结构与能源结构的低碳关联度进行实证分析。结果表明:河北省产业结构与能源结构的低碳关联度大体呈上升态势;人均GDP增长率、能源结构多元化系数、CO_2排放、第二产业碳生产力、可再生能源比例、SO_2排放等指标对河北省产业结构与能源结构低碳关联影响显著。In this study,we addressed the correlation between regional industrial structure and energy structure,with low carbon as the breakthrough point. We developed an evaluation index system based on the correlation between the industrial structure and energy structure,including low-carbon output,low-carbon consumption,low-carbon energy,and low-carbon emissions. Using optimal combination weights and gray relation analysis,we also developed a low-carbon correlation model. In addition,we carried out an empirical analysis of low-carbon correlation between regional industrial structure and energy structure between 2000 and 2012 in Hebei Province. The results show that the low-carbon correlation between regional industrial structure and energy structure was generally increasing in Hebei Province. The indexes-per capita GDP growth,the diversification coefficient of the energy sector,carbon dioxide emissions,carbon productivity of secondary industries,proportion of renewable energy,sulfur dioxide emissions-had significant effects on the low-carbon correlation between the industrial structure and energy structure in Hebei province.

关 键 词：可持续发展 产业结构 能源结构 低碳 最优组合赋权 产出 消耗 能源 排放 

分 类 号：F416.2[经济管理—产业经济]