中国装备制造业“走出去”带动生产性服务业发展的影响研究——基于VAR模型的实证分析  

The Study on the Influence of China's Equipment Manufacturing Industry'Going out' on the Development of Productive Service Industry——An Empirical Analysis Based on VAR Model

作　　者：王江[1] 陶磊[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京100124

出　　处：《国际商务（对外经济贸易大学学报）》2016年第4期37-45,共9页INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

基　　金：北京市社科规划项目特别委托项目"京津冀都市圈高端制造业与生产性服务业协同创新研究"(13JDJGD004);北京工业大学人文社科基金重点项目"一带一路"下中国生产性服务业"走出去"的模式创新及战略(011000514315508)

摘　　要："一带一路"战略背景下,中国装备制造业如何"走出去"以带动生产性服务业发展?有关该问题的研究,对促进产业间互动融合、协同发展具有重要影响与意义。本文通过运用投入产出法对中国装备制造业与生产性服务业的关联关系分析发现,生产性服务业对装备制造业的依赖度更为明显。通过构建VAR模型发现,中国装备制造业和生产性服务业在短期内不具备均衡关系,长期可能仍然处于失衡状态,但装备制造业对促进生产性服务业发展却起到较大的影响作用。Under ＂One Belt and One Road strategic context, China＇s equip- ment manufacturing industry how to ＂go out＂ to promote the development of producer services？ The study of the issue, to promote interaction between industrial integration, collaborative development is of great significance and impact. In this paper, the association output method of Chinese equipment manufacturing industry and producer services analysis, producer services for the equipment manufacturing industry more apparent dependence through the use of inputs. By constructing VAR model found that Chinese equipment manufacturing and producer servic- es in the short term does not have a balanced relationship, may still be long in an unbalanced state, but the equipment manufacturing industry to promote the development of producer services has played a greater influence.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 装备制造业 生产性服务业 投入产出法 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济] F719