基于灰色关联的河南省旅游收入影响因素研究  

Research on influencing factors of Henan province tourism revenue based on grey correlation

作　　者：李林衡 马仁锋[1] 郑飞[1] 陆浩[2] 刘文生[1] 

机构地区：[1]宁波大学地理系,浙江宁波315211 [2]兰州大学西部环境教育部重点实验室,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《科技与管理》2016年第3期80-84,89,共6页Science-Technology and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41340036)

摘　　要：运用河南省2009—2014年的旅游收入统计数据和相关性分析、灰色关联动态分析等方法,选取经济支持、旅游接待、旅游交通、环境资源、旅游需求等因素20个指标,甄别影响河南省旅游收入相关因素和核心因素。结果表明:影响河南省旅游收入的首要因素是经济支持、旅游需求因素,系数分别是0.959 2、0.931 1;旅游交通和旅游接待因素是目前增加旅游收入的关键因素;环境资源因素和软环境是制约旅游收入潜力的短板因素。Based on the tourism income statistics of Henan province during the period of 2009 to 2014,20 indicators concerning economic support,tourist reception,tourist traffic,environmental resources,information services,and tourism demanding are selected for identifing the relevant factors and core factor which effect the tourism revenue of Henan province by using partial correlation analysis and dynamic gray correlative analysis. The results show that： the primary factors in Henan tourism income are tourism demanding and economic supporting factor,of which the coefficient is 0. 959 2,0. 931 1,respectively. Tourism reception and tourism transportation are the key factors to increase tourism revenues currently. Environmental resources factor and soft environment are the short board factors of restricting tourism income potential.

关 键 词：旅游收入 偏相关分析 灰色关联分析 河南省 

分 类 号：F592.99[经济管理—旅游管理]