西部地区经济增长、能源丰度及内在作用机制研究  

Study on the Economic Growth,Energy Abundance and Its Internal Mechanism in Western China

作　　者：王思博[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院研究生院,北京102488

出　　处：《软科学》2016年第9期19-23,共5页Soft Science

摘　　要：基于西部十二省市2003~2014年面板数据,通过计量分析,对现阶段西部地区经济增长模式是否可持续、西部经济增长结构是否发生有益的变化进行深入分析。研究表明：2008年前西部经济增长主要依靠能源产业,其与能源丰度呈显著正相关,2008年后该地区经济增长与能源丰度的相关性并不显著。进一步研究内在作用机制,对比2008年前后,两个阶段人力资本均显著促进西部地区经济增长;经济对外开放程度、科技研发投入、固定资产投入对经济增长的带动能力得到改善。通过内在机制研究,进一步揭示经济增长对能源丰度依赖性减弱的机理。结果表明：西部经济增长正逐渐摆脱能源依赖,应深入实施＂供给侧＂改革,加快西部经济结构调整进程。Based on 12 provinces panel data of Western China from 2003 to 2014, this paper studies the sustainability of economic growth model, and the change of economic growth structure in Western China. Result shows that the economic growth of the Western China mainly depended on the energy industry before 2008, which had a significant positive correlation with the energy abundance. However, after 2008, the correlation between economic growth and energy abundance is not significant. During the two stages （ before and after 2008 ） human capital significantly promotes the economic growth of the western region. It also shows that the indicators of economic openness, science and technology R＆D investment, fixed as- sets investment all get improved. Based on the study, it is obviously suggested that the economic growth in Western China is becoming less dependent on energy abundance. It is necessary to further conduct the ＂the supply side＂ reform, and speed uo the economic structure adjustment process in Western China.

关 键 词：西部地区经济增长 能源丰度 内在机制 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F207