中国城镇化进程中城乡移居成本的实证研究:虚拟房租视角  

An Empirical Study on the Migrant Cost from Villages to Cities in the Process of China's Urbanization: An Virtual Rental Angle

作　　者：梁其翔[1] 龙志和[1] 

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学,广东广州510006

出　　处：《广东财经大学学报》2016年第4期97-105,共9页Journal of Guangdong University of Finance & Economics

摘　　要：我国新型城镇化背景下实现大规模农村人口移居城镇具有战略性意义。城乡移居成本可用城镇与农村居民的虚拟房租之差来表示。通过测算中国2006年-2012年城乡居民虚拟房租的差异,实证分析城乡移居成本的变化。结果显示：城镇地区人均虚拟房租为9567元/年,农村地区则为1054元/年,即农村人口移居城镇需支付约9倍的成本;中国虚拟房租总额占比GDP均值为15.81%,远高于发达国家同期水平。据此提出户籍约束是影响中国城乡移居的主要因素,建议区域性放开户籍约束,并鼓励农村人口进城购房。In the background of China＇s new urbanization, there is a strategic significance to realize huge countryside people＇ migration to urban areas. Migrant cost can be measured by virtual rental. This paper estimates the difference of the 2006 -2012 virtual rental and empirically analyzes the change of migrant cost between urban and rural areas. The results show that the urban virtual rental is 9567 Yuan per capita, and the rural one is 1054 Yuan per capita. It indicates 9 times opportunity costs that a countryman migrates to the urban area. Also, China＇s total amount of virtual rental in the period averages 15.81% , which is higher than that of the developed nations. Under the urbanization period, China＇s owner-occupied housing cost is really higher. For that, this paper considers the census register to be an important factor in migration, and suggests that China should release the census restriction regionally and encourage countrymen to buy houses in the city.

关 键 词：移居成本 住房成本 虚拟房租 新型城镇化 住房 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济]