安徽省基础设施建设对区域城镇化的影响  

The Influences of the Infrastructure Construction on the Regional Urbanization in Anhui Province

作　　者：韩亚芬[1] 杨斌 张生[1] 

机构地区：[1]宿州学院环境与测绘工程学院,安徽宿州234000 [2]安徽通济环保科技有限公司,安徽宿州234000

出　　处：《河北北方学院学报（社会科学版）》2016年第2期83-87,共5页Journal of Hebei North University：Social Science Edition

基　　金：安徽省教育厅自然科学重点研究项目(KJ2014A251);宿州学院教授博士基金课题(2014JB02);宿州学院安徽省煤矿勘探工程技术研究中心开放课题(2013YKF05);宿州区域发展协同创新中心开放课题(2014SZXTKF15)

摘　　要：借助主成分分析法,建立城镇化发展和基础设施建设的评价模型,分析安徽省1995-2013年基础设施和城镇化的发展趋势。结果显示:安徽省城镇化水平和基础设施建设总体呈现上升趋势,且2005年之后增长速度加快;两者的协调性呈现有规律的周期性波动,且间隔时间越来越短,说明两者协调性趋于良性循环;由区域城镇化与基础设施的回归分析可见,两者呈现明显的正相关关系,且超前型基础设施对于城镇化的驱动作用尤为明显,说明在城镇化进程中政府应该适度加大对基础设施建设的投入。By means of principal component analysis（PCA）,the paper sets up the evaluation model of the infrastructure construction and urbanization and analyzes the developmental trend of the infrastructure construction and urbanization in Anhui province from 1995 to 2013.The result shows that the level of in-frastructure construction and regional urbanization has grown steadily in recent years in Anhui province, particularly since 2005 and that the coordination between the regional urbanization and the infrastructure construction takes on a regular change and the interval between changes becomes shorter and shorter, which displays a sound cycle.The analysis on the relations between the infrastructure construction and ur-banization reveals that the two are related positively,in particular,when the infrastructure development is faster than urbanization development.Therefore,it is suggested that the government should increase in-vestment in the infrastructure construction in Anhui province.

关 键 词：安徽省 基础设施 城镇化 主成分分析 

分 类 号：F292[经济管理—国民经济]