中国旅游发展与城乡收入差距关系的空间计量分析  

Spatial Econometric Research on the Relationship between Tourism Development and Urban-rural Income Gap in China

作　　者：李如友[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学旅游与城市管理学院,浙江杭州310018 [2]盐城工学院旅游系,江苏盐城224051

出　　处：《经济管理》2016年第9期161-172,共12页Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )

摘　　要：本文利用中国2000—2014年分省面板数据,通过构建空间计量模型实证考察了旅游发展对城乡收入差距的影响。结果显示,中国省域城乡收入差距呈现显著的空间依赖性,周边省份城乡收入差距的变化会对本地区城乡收入差距产生影响;空间计量模型检验结果显示,中国旅游发展有助于缩小城乡收入差距,但作用强度低于非空间计量模型的估计结果,非空间计量模型由于忽略空间溢出效应而高估了旅游发展对城乡收入差距的影响作用。进一步地,旅游发展影响城乡收入差距的效果在不同时期的表现迥异;2000—2005年,旅游发展对缩小城乡收入差距的影响不明显,2006—2014年,旅游发展能够有效缩小城乡收入差距,这主要归功于该时期乡村旅游的崛起和快速发展对提高农村地区收入水平发挥积极作用。因此,应加强跨省份合作互助,统筹区域协调发展;完善西部地区基础设施建设,利用旅游业的关联和带动作用实现减贫增收;加快乡村旅游发展,推进旅游城镇化,实现城乡互补协调和一体化发展。In recent years, China＇s social justice and the sustainable development of economy are facing the challenge from the increased income gap between urban and rural areas. This problem has caught wide - spread con- cern from all walks of society. The size of income gap between urban and rural areas has been discussed frequently in the Chinese official media, is noted in government and communist party reports, and is the motivation for the ma- jor policy initiatives such as the ＇ Build a Socialist New Countryside＇ campaign which aims to reduce the income gap between urban and rural areas. Tourism is regarded as an important force of promoting economic growth and poverty reduction because of its features such as comprehensiveness, relevance, and so on. It is also believed by many researchers to be effective tool for narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. Actually, the rela- tionship between tourism development and the income gap between urban and rural areas is more complicated. Some empirical research results show that the tourism development does not always narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas, and it has the potential to expand this gap. However, these studies are based on the spatial econo- metric models which ignore the spatial correlation, there may be certain deviation between the research conclusion and objective facts. Taking the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2014, this paper established the spatial economet- ric model in order to test the effect of tourism development on the income gap between urban and rural are- as. Estimation results showed that China＇ s income gap between urban and rural areas is spatial agglomeration, and the neighboring provinces will promote each other in the gap, namely the existence of spatial spillover. Considering spatial spillover effects, tourism development effectively reduces the income gap between urban and rural areas during the study period, but the intensity of the impact is less than the estimation result of the

关 键 词：旅游发展 城乡收入差距 空间计量模型 

分 类 号：F590[经济管理—旅游管理]