省际能源消费变动结构超前状态的评价研究  

Structural lead value of energy consumption change at the provincial level in China

作　　者：陈东景[1] 丁娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛大学经济学院,青岛266071

出　　处：《干旱区资源与环境》2016年第8期10-16,共7页Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家社会科学基金(14BGL005);教育部人文社科基金(12YJCZH009);山东省优秀中青年科学家奖励基金(BS2012HZ002)资助

摘　　要：通过建立能源消费变动结构超前指数以及包含能源效率和经济规模的因素分解模型,分析了2000-2012年间我国能源消费增量省际变化的相对方向和程度。结果表明:分省份的能源消费超前状态存在明显的区域差异,能源消费滞后的省份主要位于东中部地区,能源消费超前的省份主要位于西部地区;建设资源节约型社会以来,东部省份的能源消费滞后程度进一步增加,但是西部省份的能源消费超前程度也明显增加;2006年以来,东部地区由原来的能源消费规模超前明显转变为规模滞后状态,中西部地区则明显转变为能源消费规模超前状态;能源效率滞后的省份努力进行能源效率追赶是减弱其能源消费超前状态的重要途径。A model of structural lead value of energy consumption change and a model of two influencing factors decomposition were developed to analyze the change direction and degree of energy consumption of 30 provinces in China from 2000 to 2012. The results show that provinces whose energy consumption were lagging mainly belonged to eastern region, and whose energy consumption were leading mainly belonged to western region in China. During the resource -saving society construction, eastern provinces＇ energy consumption was more lagging, but western provinces＇ energy consumption was more leading. The state of economic scale leading of energy consumption in eastern region changed into scale lagging, but the state of economic lagging of energy consumption in central and western region changed into scale leading. An important way for the provinces whose energy efficiency were lagging to weaken the leading state of their energy consumption is to try to improve energy efficiency.

关 键 词：能源消费增量 结构超前 效率超前 规模超前 

分 类 号：TK018[动力工程及工程热物理]