生产性服务业对制造业产业高度的影响研究——基于省级动态面板数据的GMM估计  

Effect of Producer Services on Manufacturing Upgrading: Evidence from Interprovincial Dynamic Panel Data Model with GMM Estimation

作　　者：申明浩[1] 卢小芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院,广东广州510420

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2016年第8期26-40,共15页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学重大课题攻关项目(14JZD021);理论粤军重点项目(WT1401)

摘　　要：中国经济发展进入新常态，产能过剩、供需失衡的矛盾日渐突出，制造业陷入前所未有的复杂境地。要实现经济可持续增长必须加快经济增长方式的转变，而转变经济增长方式的一含重要方面就是制造业产业高度化。文章基于全国30个省份2003-2013年数据，构建动态面板模型分析了生产性服务业对制造业产业高度的影响，研究结果表明：总体来看生产性服务业对制造业产业高度具备显著的正向提升效应；但在不同的产业发展阶段表现出由不显著到正向显著的动态变化趋势；拓展模型证明生产性服务业对制造业产业高度外溢作用的发挥会受到区域经济发展水平、人力资本积累水平和市场自由化程度的影响。Economy enter the new normal, and China＇s manufacturing industry faces greater pressure. Manufacturing upgrading need to be strengthened from top to bottom as an essential foundation for sustainable growth. This paper focuseson the effect of producer services on manufacturing upgrading, and based on the data of China＇s 30 provinces in 2003-2013, makes a dynamic panel data model with GMM estimation. The conclusions of this paper are as follows： Producer services can promote the upgrading of manufacturing industry, but in different stages. The results show non-significant, significantly positive change. Enhancing the level of market liberalization, regional economic development and human resource accumulation can promote the producer services＇ a role of spillover on manufacturing upgrading.

关 键 词：生产性服务业 制造业 产业高度化 

分 类 号：F207[经济管理—国民经济]