几种特定雷电灾害风险评估方法探析  

Analysis of Several Assessment Methods of Lightning Disaster Risk

作　　者：余蜀豫[1] 覃彬全 杨磊 赵生昊 

机构地区：[1]重庆市防雷中心,重庆市401147 [2]重庆市雷电灾害鉴定与防御工程技术研究中心,重庆市401147

出　　处：《建筑电气》2016年第9期57-61,共5页Building Electricity

基　　金：重庆市科技平台与基地建设项目;项目名称:重庆市雷电灾害鉴定与防御工程技术研究中心;项目编号:cstc2013pt-gc00001

摘　　要：鉴于现有的雷电灾害风险评估技术规范的局限性,介绍基于层次分析法、LEC法、模糊数学、仿真模拟的雷电灾害风险评估方法,分析不同方法的优缺点,同时举例说明其在实际项目中的应用。在特定情况下,这些方法有着很好的适用性,能更好分析项目的雷电风险,也能完善现有的雷电灾害风险评估体系。Considering the limitations of existing technical specifications for, lightning disaster risk assessment, the article introduces lightning disaster assessment methods that are based on analytic hierarchy process, LEC method, fuzzy mathematics and simulation, analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of such methods. In the meantime, it gives application examples of the methods in practical projects. Under certain circumstances, these methods can have a good applicability, better analyze the lightning risk of projects, and improve the existing lightning disaster risk assessment system.

关 键 词：雷电灾害 风险评估 层次分析法 LEC法 模糊数学 仿真模拟 物理模型 风险管理 

分 类 号：P429[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]