土地财政对城市非经济性公共物品供给的影响——基于武汉市2002-2013年数据的实证  

The Effect of Land Finance on the Supply of Non-economic Public Goods in Cities——An Empirical Study Based on Data From 2002 To 2013 in Wuhan City

作　　者：李菁[1] 刘旭玲[1] 赵毅[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《华中科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第5期92-98,129,共8页Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目"非平等交易下农地自演化产权与强制性产权的冲突;磨合机理研究"(71103068)

摘　　要：以武汉市2002-2013年间的相关数据为基础,构建土地财政规模与城市非经济性公共物品供给水平的计量经济模型,利用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验等方法,探讨城市土地财政规模对非经济性公共物品供给的影响方向和程度。结果表明,土地财政与城市非经济性公共物品供给水平之间存在着显著的相关性,前者对后者有显著促进作用的同时后者对前者也有一定的反向作用;土地财政对不同类别的非经济性公共物品供给水平影响并不一致,存在结构性偏向;从时间维度研究发现,不同阶段土地财政收入对公共物品供给水平的影响并不统一,对教育文化类公共品供给的正向效应随着时间推移而增强,对医疗卫生类和环境保护类公共物品供给的影响随时间变化有下降趋势。Based on the data of Wuhan city from the year 2002 to 2013,this paper constructs an econometric model of land finance scale and non- economic public goods supply level. Methods of cointegration test and granger causality test were used to explore the direction and degree of effect that land finance scale has on non- economic public goods supply. The results show that： there is a significant correlation between land finance and non- economic public goods supply level. The former has a significant role in promoting the latter,while the latter also exerts great function in improving the former in reverse at the same time. Varying with different categories of non- economic public goods,influence of land finance is not consistent. In another words,there is a structural bias. It finds from the time dimension that the impact of fiscal revenue of land in different stages on the public goods supply level is not uniform： the positive effect on the supply of culture land education increases with time,while the effect on environmental protection and health care decreases with time forwards.

关 键 词：土地财政 非经济性公共物品 结构偏向 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济]