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作 者:程萌
机构地区:[1]巨野县气象局,山东巨野274900
出 处:《中国农学通报》2016年第25期166-169,共4页Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin
摘 要:以观测雷暴日资料为基础,采取线性倾向分析法、Mann-Kendall检验法、Morlet小波分析法,对菏泽地区雷暴日数的气候分布特征进行详细分析。结果发现,1964—2013年间,菏泽各区县雷暴日数分布均匀。从20世纪60年代中期开始,年雷暴日数以2.9 d/10 a的线性趋势显著减少。雷暴日数减少是一种突变现象,开始时间是1981年。在7年层次里,菏泽市雷暴日序列存在准15年周期的振荡,在20年层次里,菏泽市雷暴日序列存在准40年周期的振荡,20世纪80年代后期是一个转折点。雷暴日空间分布均匀。Based on data of thunderstorm days in Heze, linear trend analysis, Mann-Kendall methods and Morlet wavelet analysis, etc. were adopted to analyze the climatic distribution characteristics of thunderstorm days. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the number of thunderstorm days distributed evenly in every county of Heze; from the mid- 1960s, the annual number of thunderstorm days reduced significantly with a linear trend of 2.9 d/10 a; the reducing number of thunderstorm days was a mutation phenomenon, it began in 1981. In 7 years' level, the sequence of thunderstorm day in Heze had a 15-year' s oscillation; in 20 years' level, the sequence of thunderstorm day in Heze had a 40-year' s oscillation. Late 1980s was a turning point. The spatial distribution of thunderstorm days was even.
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