短期负荷预测中气象因素的处理策略研究综述  

Review of Study on Processing Strategy for Meteorological Factors in Short-term Load Forecasting

作　　者：张庆华 王云洁[2] 张磊 

机构地区：[1]江苏省电力公司检修分公司,江苏南京210096 [2]江苏省电力公司常州供电公司,江苏常州213000

出　　处：《机械管理开发》2016年第9期119-121,共3页Mechanical Management and Development

摘　　要：介绍了气象因素的概念,分析了气象因素对电力负荷的影响,从多方面提出并总结评价了目前短期负荷预测中气象因素的处理策略,指出了今后短期负荷预测研究的方向和趋势。认为:考虑多个有合耦作用的气象因素和实时气象因素对短期负荷预测的影响的策略,预测效果较好;在今后的研究当中,需结合待预测地区的实际情况,优先合适的处理策略,保证预测结果可靠。This paper introduces the concept of meteorological factors and the influence of meteorological factors, puts forward and summarizes from several aspects of meteorological factors in the evaluation of the current short-term load forecasting processing strategy, points out the future direction and trend in the research of short-term load forecasting.it is thought that multiple coupling effects of the meteorological factors and the real-time meteorological factors impact on short-term load forecasting strategy, the effect is better. In the future study, it is necessary to combine with the actual situation, appropriate treatment strategy should be opted to ensure reliable prediction results.

关 键 词：电力系统 短期负荷预测 气象因素 处理策略 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]