高速铁路对城市旅游发展的经济效应研究--以武广高铁为例  

City Tourism Development Effects of High-speed Railways Based on Difference-in-Differences Estimation:Empirical Analysis of Wuhan——Guangzhou High-speed Railway

作　　者：朱桃杏[1,2] 陆军[2] 

机构地区：[1]石家庄铁道大学经济管理学院,050043 [2]北京大学政府管理学院,100871

出　　处：《城市与环境研究》2016年第2期69-79,共11页Urban and Environmental Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“京津冀都市圈轨道交通的旅游发展效应测度与评估”(批准号:41401158);国家社科基金重点项目“高铁时代区域经济协调发展重点与支撑政策研究”(批准号:11AZD093)

摘　　要：高速铁路是交通运输技术进步的产物,具有多重属性,如线路和站点设置、车次安排等。不同的自然和社会属性通过自然环境和区位特征等因素对区域旅游经济产生不同的影响。作者以武广高铁为例,采用双重差分模型,分析了高速铁路多重属性的旅游效应和开通运营特征变化。研究结果表明,"高铁开通与否""是否是高铁站点""至高铁站点距离"等因素与区域旅游收入增长呈现明显的正相关;高速铁路的相关属性互相制约,共同推动区域旅游的发展;除了以高速铁路为代表的交通设施支撑外,经济发展水平以及住宿等配套要素对区域旅游业发展同样具有重要影响。As a result of transportation technology progress, high-speed railways have many natural and social attributes, such as and train arrangement. These attributes will somewhat. To analyze the effect of multiple the high-speed railway line setting, site layout usually have various tourism economic impact in attributes of high-speed rail on tourism and the operation efficiency, the authors take Wuhan - and utilize the double difference model, by dependent variable. The results show that th Guangzho^u high-speed railway as an example taking the regional tourism revenue growth as the e ＂high-speed railway opened or not, ＂whether it is high-speed rail site and ＂with high speed rail site distance＂ index and regional tourism revenue shows significant positiye correlation. Relevant properties of the high speed railway restrict each other, and jointly promote the development of regional tourism. Divided by high-speed railway as the representative of the transportation facilities, the level of economic development and accommodation, and other supporting factors on the development of regional tourism also play an important role.

关 键 词：高速铁路 城市旅游 经济效应 双重差分模型 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理] F532.8[经济管理—产业经济]