城市低保对象福利依赖问题的实证研究--基于倾向得分匹配法的分析  

An Empirical Study on Welfare Dependency Problem of Urban Minimum Living Guarantee System in China—An Analysis Based on PSM

作　　者：李威[1] 毕向阳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国政法大学社会学院,北京100088

出　　处：《社会建设》2016年第5期17-28,共12页Social Construction

基　　金：民政部政策研究中心委托郭伟和教授主持的“中国城乡困难家庭社会政策支持系统建设项目”(1071-23215002)数据分析专题研究

摘　　要：本文使用倾向得分匹配法(PSM)对"中国城乡困难家庭社会政策支持系统建设项目"的调查数据进行量化分析,探究城市低保对象是否存在"福利依赖"问题。实证分析结果表明,城市低保对象就业惰性与家庭残疾人数、家庭人均收入、家庭平均受教育年限、有劳动能力人数和地区类型等因素有显著关系;通过对城市低保对象和非低保对象的匹配分析,发现低保制度对城市居民就业惰性的平均处理效应不显著,即低保对象不存在就业惰性。In this paper, we used propensity score matching method to analyze the survey data collected by Ministry of Civil Affairs Policy Research Center to study whether urban minimum living guarantee system will lead to social problems of welfare dependency. The empirical results showed that the employment inert of the subjects of minimum living guarantee system was influenced by the numbers of disabled family member, per capita household income, household average years of education, the number of able-bodied family member and location types. By matching urban subjects of minimum living guarantee system and non-subjects of minimum living guarantee system by PSM, we found that the average treatment effect of subsistence allowances on urban residents employment inert was not significant, which meant employment inert problem of urban subjects of minimum living guarantee system did not exist, so did the exist of welfare dependency problem.

关 键 词：福利依赖 城市低保制度 就业倾向 倾向得分匹配法 

分 类 号：D632.1[政治法律—政治学]