基于产业生命周期视角的制造业集聚经济研究  

A study of agglomeration economies from the perspective of industrial life cycle

作　　者：沈体雁[1] 邱亦雯[1] 周麟[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京大学政府管理学院,北京100871

出　　处：《东南大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2016年第5期79-90,147,共12页Journal of Southeast University(Philosophy and Social Science)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"基于双边匹配理论的企业区位配置模型与区位市场设计"(71473008);国家社会科学基金重大项目"空间经济学在中国的理论与实践研究"(13&ZD166)成果之一

摘　　要：基于2000—2011年规模以上工业企业数据,以产业生命周期理论为基础,通过构建中国县域尺度28个制造业行业的生产函数,从产业生命周期特征分析、产业专业化与多样化分析、产业生命周期对集聚经济的影响等方面探讨集聚经济的产业异质性和动态性,结果表明:1制造业总体存在逆成长型、成长型与稳定型三种生命周期演化模式,不同要素密集型产业之间具备显著差异,即劳动密集型产业的年轻化、资本密集型产业的稳定化及技术密集型产业的成熟化特征;2产业的专业化随成熟度增加呈倒"U"型分布,多样化呈现递减趋势;3地方化经济呈现"U"型分布,城市化经济则呈现不断增加的趋势;初期和后期的地方化经济大于城市化经济,中期的城市化经济大于地方化经济。Based on the data from China's Annual Survey of Industrial Firms(2000-2011),we analyze the industrial heterogeneity and the dynamics of agglomeration economies by using the industrial life cycle theory and conducting econometric models. We focuses on the three aspects of the evolutionary patterns of industrial life cycle,the characteristics of industrial specialization and diversification and the changing benefits of agglomeration along the industrial life cycle. We get the following results.(1)Three evolutionary patterns of industrial life cycles are identified(growth,regeneration and stability);labor-,capital- and technology-intensive industries are characterized by emerging,growing and steady trends respectively(.2)The industrial specialization patterns present an inverted U shape;diversification shows a trend of progressive decrease;(3)Localization economies present an U shape and urbanization economies show a trend of progressive increase;localization economies in the initial and later period is greater than urbanization economies and the latter in medium period is greater than the former.

关 键 词：地方化经济 城市化经济 产业生命周期 产业异质性 制造业 集聚经济 产业集聚 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济]