基于风险可控行蓄洪区运用决策支持系统开发与设计  

Development and design of decision support system of flood detention zones based on controllable risk control

作　　者：孙燕[1] 刘仲刚[2] 于彦博[3] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210098 [2]江苏省水利厅科技处,江苏南京210029 [3]淮河水利委员会水利水电工程技术研究中心,安徽蚌埠233001

出　　处：《水利经济》2016年第5期64-68,82,共5页Journal of Economics of Water Resources

基　　金：水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目(201301065)

摘　　要：针对行蓄洪区运用决策存在的问题,通过选取淮河干流的蒙洼蓄洪区作为"基于风险可控行蓄洪区运用决策支持系统"的典型应用案例区,基于GIS软件和平台,将多种模型与行蓄洪区内的多源数据集成为一个相互联系的有机整体,解决行蓄洪损失难以快速评估,行蓄洪区风险无法快速有效预警、控制和管理,科学的应急管理体系尚未建立等难题,为行蓄洪区规划管理(包括洪水资源化利用)提供决策支持工具。With regard to the problems in the decision making of flood retention zones,Mengwa Flood Retention Zone is selected as the case study zone of'Application of decision support system of flood detention zone based on controllable risk techniques '.By integrating multi- source data and models based on GIS techniques and platform,the decision support tools for watershed planning and management of flood detention zones are established to help solve several problems, such as rapid and accurate evaluation of flood losses,efficient and rapid forecasting and alert of flood risks, control and management as well as emergency management framework.

关 键 词：决策支持 系统开发 风险评估 行蓄洪区 

分 类 号：TV212.5[水利工程—水文学及水资源]