财政支农、金融支农促进了农民增收吗？--基于空间面板分位数模型的研究  

Have Fiscal and Financial Support to Agriculture Promoted Peasants' Income in China?——Study Based on the Spatial Panel Quantile Model

作　　者：黄寿峰[1] Huang Shoufeng

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院

出　　处：《财政研究》2016年第8期78-90,共13页Public Finance Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目“人民币汇率变动对我国物价水平的微观传递和宏观影响研究”(71303196),国家自然科学基金面上项目“中国式金融资源配置模式下的宏观调控政策体系研究”(71373217);2011年度厦门大学基础创新科研基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金)“公共财政投入与农村金融发展对农民增收的影响研究”(2011221013)资助成果之一

摘　　要：本文使用1997-2013年我国30个省、市、自治区的面板数据,应用空间面板分位数回归方法,考察了我国财政支农、金融支农及其协作效应对农民增收的影响。结果表明,在不同分位数水平下,财政支农都显著促进了农民收入的增长,而金融支农只在高分位点对农民收入具有正影响,财政支农与金融支农的协作效应对农民增收作用不显著;分区域、分时间段的稳健性检验的结果证实了上述结果,且进一步得出财政支农和金融支农对农民收入的影响存在区域及时间差异性。此外,地方政府间存在财政支农的空间相关,它能促进本地区农民收入的增长。Using the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 1997 to 2013, this paper utilizes the spatial panel quantile regression method to investigate the effects of fiscal support and financial support to agriculture, and their collaborative effects on peasants＇ income. The results show that, under the different quantile level, fiscal support to agriculture significantly promotes the peasants＇ income, and financial support to agriculture has a positive impact under the high quantiles, but the collaborative effects are not significant. The subregional and sub-period robust test results confirm the above results. Furthermore, the effects of fiscal and financial support to agriculture on peasants＇ income show regional differences and time differences. In addition, there are spatial correlations among local governments in fiscal support to agriculture, which can promote the peasants＇ income.

关 键 词：财政支农 金融支农 农民增收 空间面板 分位数回归 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]