2016年上半年农产品贸易形势及下半年展望  

Agricultural Products Trade in the First Half of 2016 and Its Prospect for the Second Half Year

作　　者：梁勇[1] 赵军华[1] 

机构地区：[1]农业部农业贸易促进中心,北京100125

出　　处：《农业展望》2016年第8期58-62,共5页Agricultural Outlook

摘　　要：随着国际农产品价格的下跌,2016年上半年中国农产品贸易额同比略有下降,其中,进口额下降6.5%,出口额增加2.8%。就进口量而言,谷物、食用油籽和植物油、棉花和棉纱、食糖、肉、奶等大宗农产品进口量继续增加或保持较高水平。在世界经济增长乏力、国际市场需求低迷的形势下,预计2016年下半年国际农产品价格将继续低位运行,国内外价差短期难以大幅缩小,粮食等大宗农产品将继续面临较大进口压力。With the decline of international agricultural products prices, the trade value of China＇s agricultural products fell slightly in the first half of 2016 comparing to the previous year, of which the imports fell 6.5 percent, while the exports increased by 2.8 percent. While for the import volume, the imports of cereals,edible oilseeds and vegetable oil, cotton and cotton yarn, sugar, meat, dairy products and other bulk agricultural products all continued increasing or maintaining at a high level. Under the circumstance of weak global economic growth and low demand, international agricultural products prices were expected to remain at a low level in the second half of 2016, and the price gap at home and abroad would not narrow significantly in the short term, while cereals and other staple agricultural commodities would continue facing greater pressure on import.

关 键 词：国内外 农产品 贸易形势 价差 展望 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]