页岩气开发的经济效益与影响因素分析  

Analysis of the economics of shale gas exploitation and the influence factors

作　　者：耿小烬[1] 王爱国[2] 鲁陈林 GENG Xiao-Jin WANG Ai-guo LU Chen-lin(School of Management, China University of Mining Technology, Beijing 100083, China Chongqing Academy of Governance, Chongqing 400041, China China Nuclear Power Engineering Co. , Ltd. , Beijing 100840, China)

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)管理学院,北京100083 [2]重庆行政学院,重庆400041 [3]中国核电工程有限公司,北京100840

出　　处：《中国矿业》2016年第10期31-36,41,共7页China Mining Magazine

摘　　要：对于页岩气开发经济效益的质疑是影响页岩气投资热情和产业发展的重要因素之一。本文根据页岩气单井产量变化规律,建立了一套页岩气开发经济效益分析的方法,并应用这套方法,对目前我国页岩气开发成本和合理天然气价格之下,典型页岩气盆地页岩气开发的经济效益进行了分析。研究得到,美国典型页岩气盆地页岩气开发在我国目前的成本和经济气价条件下具有一定的经济效益,而压力系数和储层条件是影响页岩气开发效益的两个重要因素,两个因素在一定程度上具有互补作用。除此之外,页岩气开发可以通过进一步的技术发展和快速达到规模化生产的方法,降低开发成本和操作成本,增加开发经济效益。The doubt about the economics of shale gas exploitation is one of the most important factors that affect the investors＇ enthusiasm and industrialization development.So we develop a set of method to evaluate the economics of shale gas exploitation in consideration of the production characteristics of a single shale gas well.Then influence factors that affect the economics of shale gas exploitation were analyzed under the China＇s present cost and nature gas price.The results show that there are some economics produced by American typical shale gas exploitation,and the pressure coefficient and the reservoir conditions are the two important factors that influence the exploitation economics,and in some extent the two factors can alternative.Besides we can reduce the developing cost and the operation cost to increase the economic efficiency by improving exploitation technology and realizing scale development quickly.

关 键 词：页岩气 经济效益 评价方法 案例分析 

分 类 号：P618.13[天文地球—矿床学]