中国区域旅游经济增长的影响因素及其空间溢出效应研究——基于空间杜宾面板模型  

Study on Spatial Spillover Effects of Regional Tourism Economic Growth and Its Influence Factors in China——Based on Spatial Durbin Panel Model

作　　者：赵金金[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学管理学院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《软科学》2016年第10期53-57,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(12CGL059);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地中国海洋大学海洋发展研究院重大培育项目(2012JDPY02)

摘　　要：综合经济增长理论和旅游经济自身特性,运用空间杜宾面板模型进行实证研究。结果表明:我国区域旅游经济增长存在显著空间依赖性,空间杜宾面板模型是最佳研究模型;我国区域旅游经济增长是典型的生产要素、内生技术、制度质量驱动型;旅游资源禀赋的正向空间溢出效应显著。旅游从业人员数、地区环境氛围的"截流效应"显著;旅游从业人员数、地区环境氛围、旅游企业固定资产的负向扩散效应远大于其直接效应。旅游专利数、地区价格水平的作用均不显著。据此,提出实现旅游经济持续、高效增长,以及区域旅游协调、联动发展的对策。Combined with the theory of economic growth and characteristics of tourism economy, this paper uses spatial Durbin panel model to conduct an empirical study. Results showe that, firstly Chinese regional tourism economic growth eti- sts significant spatial dependence, and spatial Durbin panel model is the best model. Secordly Regional tourism economic growth is typically driven by factors of production, endogenous technology, institutional quality. Thirdly, Tourism resources have a significant positive spatial spillover effects. The number of tourism practitioners and regional environment atmosphere have significant ＂ intercepting effect＂. The negative diffusion effects of tourism employees＇ number, regional tourism environment＇s atmosphere, and tourism enterprises＇ fixed assets are greater than the direct effect. The roles of tourism patents＇ number and regional price level are not significant. Accordingly, it puts forward countermeasures of realizing the sustainable and efficient growth of tourism economy, and coordinating the development of regional tourism.

关 键 词：旅游经济增长 影响因素 空间溢出效应 空间杜宾面板模型 

分 类 号：F590[经济管理—旅游管理] F207[经济管理—产业经济]