2016年国内玉米市场形势分析及展望  

Domestic Corn Market Situation and Prospects in 2016

作　　者：焦善伟[1] 

机构地区：[1]中华粮网,河南郑州450046

出　　处：《种业导刊》2016年第10期10-13,共4页Journal of Seed Industry Guide

摘　　要：随着2016年产新季玉米由南到北陆续上市,国内玉米市场看空心态升级。新增产量依然庞大,去库存力度不断加大,市场供应压力有增无减;在宏观经济处于供给侧结构性改革的大背景下,饲料需求及深加工用粮预计增幅有限,市场需求难以明显回升;新的市场价格形成机制,将推动后期国内玉米价格走势进一步向反映供需关系靠拢,市场各参与主体也将重新经历一轮心态调整和价格重新估值的过程,在这一过程中,国内玉米价格波动将会放大,市场购销行为将表现得更加谨慎。With an annual output of 2016 season com come into the market from south to north, the bearish attitude of domestic corn market escalate. New season output is still huge, destocking has been intensified, market supply pressure has been increased; In the situation of supply-side structural reform in macro-economic, there is little potential of requirements of fodder and deep processing, and the market demand is difficult to rise significantly. The new market price formation mechanism promote reflection of supply and demand relationship, the market participants also will be subject to re-experience process and an attitude adjustment of the price revaluation, in the process, volatility of domestic corn price will be enlarged, the market buying and selling behavior will behave more cantiously.

关 键 词：玉米 价格走势 去库存 生产形势 消费形势 政策调控 进口 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]