基于可拓学的空管系统安全评价  

Air Traffic Control System Safety Evaluation Based on Extenics Theory

作　　者：刘颖 李祥 陈可嘉[2] 林静[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国民航科学技术研究院,北京100028 [2]福州大学经济与管理学院,福建福州350108

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（信息与管理工程版）》2016年第5期524-528,533,共6页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology：Information & Management Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金委员会与中国民用航空局联合资金项目(61179061);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划资金项目(NCET-11-0903);民航局科技计划资金项目(MHRD20150211)

摘　　要：空中交通管理系统作为民航运输系统的一个关键组成部分,其安全运作与否直接影响民航安全。因此,针对空管系统进行安全评价,可以了解空管系统的安全状态,使得相关部门可以依此进行宏观管理,提升民航安全水平。首先,在分析空管系统以及明确指标选取原则的基础上,从"人、机、环、管"4个方面,建立空管系统安全评价指标体系。其次,采用模糊序关系分析法确定指标权重,并引入可拓学理论框架,建立基于可拓学的空管系统安全评价方法。最后,通过对某空管单位安全评价的实例研究,验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。Air traffic management system as a key component of the civil aviation transportation system. Its safe operation or not directly affects the civil aviation safety. Therefore,to evaluate the safety of ATC system can make us understand security of air traffic control systems. Allowing departments to conduct macro-management,and enhance the security level of civil aviation.Firstly,based on the analysis of the air traffic control system and the index selection principle clarification,the air traffic control safety evaluation index system is established including the four aspects of human,equipment,environmental,management.Next,weight values of indexes are determined by the fuzzy order relation analysis method. The air traffic control system safety evaluation method based on the extenics theory is developed. Finally,through the empirical study of an air traffic control unit safety evaluation,the feasibility and validity of the method is verified.

关 键 词：空管系统 安全评价 可拓学 模糊序关系分析法 

分 类 号：X949[环境科学与工程—安全科学]