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出 处:《中国人口科学》2016年第5期35-48,共14页Chinese Journal of Population Science
基 金:国家社会科学基金重点项目"地震灾害频发地区的人口迁移与分布问题研究"(编号:11ARK001)的阶段性成果
摘 要:文章从自然地理环境禀赋条件、社会经济禀赋条件及地理空间溢出视角,对影响区域贫困的诸种因素进行分析,并使用龙门山断裂带30个县(市、区)2008-2013年的相关数据,采用空间耦合方法和空间面板计量模型,实证考察不同禀赋条件和地理空间溢出对区域贫困的具体影响。结果发现,自然灾害危险度越高、生态环境越脆弱的区域贫困发生率越高,两者呈现高度的空间耦合,在区域内部形成贫困集聚;同时,财政扶贫支出绩效弱化,城镇化减贫效果异常化,经济发展减贫作用分化,医疗卫生状况改善对扶贫的作用不明显,而公共服务供给和交通状况对扶贫和减贫的作用凸显。因此,针对这类特殊的集中连片贫困区域的精准扶贫,应加大公共服务的供给力度和基础设施建设的投资力度。With the perspectives of natural geographical endowment conditions, social economic endowment conditions and geographical spatial spillover, this paper theoretically analyses the various factors affecting regional poverty. Furthermore, the paper uses spatial coupling relationship and spatial panel econometric model to empirically study the impact of different endowment conditions and geographical spillovers effect on regional poverty, based on the 30 counties' dates of Long men Mountain Fault Zone from 2008 to 2013. The study shows that the higher the risk of natural disasters or the more fragile ecological environment is,the higher the poverty rate is. It leads to a high degree of spatial coupling between the two, which causes the spatial agglomeration of poverty in the region. Meanwhile, the role of financial poverty alleviation is presenting 'alienation' condition. Urbanization and economic development in these areas show weak effects on poverty alleviation. Meanwhile the improvement of medical conditions on poverty reduction is not significant. In contrast, roles of public service supply and transportation conditions on poverty alleviation and poverty reduction are evident. Therefore, in order to achieve precise poverty alleviation for the special focus on contiguous poor areas, it is fundamental to increase public service supply efforts and enhance investment in infrastructure construction.
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