区域碳足迹耦合度及影响因素研究  

Research on Coupling Degree and Influencing Factors of Regional Carbon Footprint

作　　者：孙强[1] 沈玉志[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁工程技术大学工商管理学院,辽宁葫芦岛125105

出　　处：《生态经济》2016年第11期75-79,174,共6页Ecological Economy

基　　金：辽宁省社会科学规划基金(13-1157)

摘　　要：以区域能源碳足迹为研究对象,对辽宁省1996～2014年碳足迹及其耦合度进行了测算。利用脉冲响应分析了碳足迹与经济发展效应、能源强度效应、能源效率效应、人口压力效应和能源结构效应之间的关系。结果表明：辽宁省碳足迹年均增幅8.249%,碳足迹耦合度由1996年的3.4732变为2014年的0.2484,耦合过程经历了耦合失调——初级耦合两个阶段。经济发展效应、人口压力效应和能源强度效应对碳足迹增加有推动作用,其中经济发展效应是碳足迹增加的主要因子,能源效率效应和能源结构效应对碳足迹增加有抑制作用。降低辽宁省碳足迹的对策可以从调整能源结构、优化产业结构和加快发展服务业三方面实现。Taking the regional energy carbon footprint as the research object, the carbon footprint and carbon footprint coupling degree in Liaoning Province from 1996 to 2014 were calculated. The impulse response model was adopted to discuss the five impacts of carbon footprint in Liaoning Province, i.e. economic development effect, energy intensity effect, energy efficiency effect, population pressure effect and energy structure effect. The result indicated that the carbon footprint in Liaoning was growing at an average of 8.249% each year. The carbon footprint coupling degree dropped from 3.4732 in 1996 to 0.2484 in 2014, the coupling process experienced two steps, namely, coupling imbalance and primary coupling. Economic development effect, population pressure effect and energy intensity effect promoted the increasing of carbon footprint, among them the economic development effect is the main factor of increasing carbon footprint. Meanwhile energy efficiency effect and energy structure effect deteriorated the increasing of carbon footprint in Liaoning Province. Measurements to reduce the carbon footprint in Liaoning Province could be realized from three areas, i.e. adjustment of energy structure, optimizing the industrial structure and accelerating the development of service industry.

关 键 词：碳足迹 碳足迹耦合度 影响因素 脉冲响应 辽宁省 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]