信息化条件下海上局部战争减员影响因素指标体系构建  

Construction of Index System for Factors Influencing Combat Attrition during Near Shore Zone Sea Warfare under Conditions of Informatization

作　　者：刘维佳[1,2] 陈国良[3] 

机构地区：[1]第二军医大学海军医学系 [2]解放军63978部队 [3]第二军医大学海军医学系海军军事卫勤与装备教研室

出　　处：《解放军医院管理杂志》2016年第9期818-822,共5页Hospital Administration Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army

摘　　要：目的建立一套科学、全面适应信息化条件下海战减员影响因素指标体系,为未来打赢信息化条件下海上局部战争,准确合理地预计海战减员人数奠定理论基础。方法运用文献归纳法、专家咨询法、模糊综合判断法,并通过3轮20名专家咨询确定信息化条件下海战减员影响因素及权重。结果经过3轮专家咨询,确立信息化条件下海战减员影响因素指标框架,包括一级指标3个,二级指标10个,三级指标42个。3轮专家咨询的积极系数分别是0.85、0.94、1,可操作性系数0.3342,敏感性系数0.2795,熟悉系数0.79。结论经过专家删除、修改各项指标,构建信息化条件下海战减员影响因素指标体系,可信度较高。Objective To establish a scientific and comprehensive index system for factors influencing combat attrition during near shore zone sea warfare under conditions of informatization , so as to provide evidence to predict combat attrition during near shore zone sea warfare and win victory .Methods Literature inductive meth-od, Delphi method, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process were used in this research .20 experts were selected to help complete 3 rounds of consultation to determine factors and weights of each index .Results The finally determined indicators were 3 as primary,10 as the second level and 42 as the third.The recovery rates in 3 rounds of question-naire consultation were 85%,94% and 100%, operational coefficient was 0.3342, sensitivity coefficient was 0.2795, familiar coefficient was 0.79.Conclusion The index system for factors influencing combat attrition dur -ing near shore zone sea warfare under conditions of informatization was established after factors were deleted and modified, and the system was reliable.

关 键 词：减员 文献归纳法 专家咨询法 模糊综合判断法 指标体系 近海海战 

分 类 号：R197.32[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]