中国城乡协调发展的时空特征  

Spatial-temporal Characteristics of Urban-rural Coordinated Development

作　　者：钱文荣[1] 王鹏飞[1] 叶俊焘[2] QIAN Wen-rong WANG Peng-fei YE Jun-tao(China Academy for Rural Development, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058 School of Management and Economics, Zhejiang University of Science and Technology , Hangzhou 310023, China)

机构地区：[1]浙江大学中国农村发展研究院,杭州310058 [2]浙江科技学院经济与管理学院,杭州310023

出　　处：《西北农林科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第6期105-113,共9页Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(715732325)

摘　　要：从生产发展、人民生活和生态环境三个方面构建评价指标体系,运用熵权法、协调发展度模型、聚类分析和探索性空间数据分析等方法探讨了中国2002-2012年30个省域城乡协调度的动态演变特征和空间分异规律。结果表明:研究时段内,各省的城乡协调度均有所提升,但省份间增长差异明显;整体上城乡协调度出现明显的空间自相关,协调度高的省份主要集聚在东南沿海,协调度低的省份主要集聚在"黑河-腾冲"线以西的地区;江西、安徽、辽宁3个省份表现出局部空间异质性。最后,结合地理二元经济、二元经济结构等理论尝试解释了地理单元间的相互作用对城乡协调度差异的影响机理。First,this study builds evaluation system from three aspects of production development,people＇s livelihood and environment.Then,it analyzes dynamic evolution characteristics and spatial variation law of urbanrural coordination degree of China＇s 30 provinces from 2002-2012,using entropy-weight method,coordination degree model,cluster analysis and exploratory spatial data analysis etc.The results indicate that（1）urban-rural coordination degrees of all provinces are improved in the study period,but there are obvious difference among provinces;（2）coordination degree shows significant spatial autocorrelation as a whole.Specifically,provinces with higher coordination degree mainly gather in southeast coast,meanwhile,provinces with lower coordination degree mainly agglomerate in the west of Heihe-tengchong line;（3）Jiangxi,Anhui and Liaoning show local spatial heterogeneity.Finally,according to geographical dual economy,dual economic model and other related theories,this study tries explaining the influence mechanism of interaction among geographical units to the difference of urbanrural coordination degree.

关 键 词：城乡协调发展 综合评价 动态演变 空间分异 

分 类 号：F304.5[经济管理—产业经济]