微观群体性事件应对措施验证模型  

Microcosmic Group Event Countermeasure Verification Models

作　　者：王征[1,2] 黄城[1,2] WANG Zheng HUANG Cheng(School of Economic Information Engineering,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics,Chengdu 61113 0, China Graduate School, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 61113 0, China)

机构地区：[1]西南财经大学经济信息工程学院,四川成都611130 [2]西南财经大学研究生院,四川成都611130

出　　处：《系统工程》2016年第8期69-74,共6页Systems Engineering

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(14CGL050)

摘　　要：由于相关情报的匮乏,微观化模型、过程驱动、评判自动化等问题成为了群体性事件应对措施验证模型的实现难点;针对上述问题,基于微观过程推演仿真方法与技术,给出新型的群体性事件应对措施验证模型,给出模型的组成结构、关键要素、运作流程以及实现关键技术,通过人机交互和消息传递技术,实现事件管理椎演的内外驱动。测试结果表明,该模型的仿真程度较高,较之传统管桌面理实验模型,有助于管理人员验证事件管理策略,提高管理效率,具有一定的实际意义和实用价值。Micro-models, process driving, and automatic appraisals are difficult problems in the design processes of management countermeasure models. In order to deal with the above problems, a novel countermeasure model is given based on microscopic process simulation methods. And its model, frameworks, components and working flows are described as following. Then the model utilizes the human-computer interaction technology and the message transmitting technology to drive virtual chess pieces and virtual group events in event simulations. In order to provide aided management information for group event managers,the model uses a grey relational information fusion algorithm to implement the automatic evaluation of group event management effects. Simulation test results show that the model has better simulation effects than the traditional desk do so.

关 键 词：群体性事件管理 事件应对措施 过程推演 微观模型 

分 类 号：N945[自然科学总论—系统科学]