甲醇汽车技术经济评价及规模应用的可行性  

Technical and Economic Evaluation of Methanol-fueled Vehicle and Its Feasibility of Scale Application

作　　者：徐铭辰[1,2] 彭华[2] 

机构地区：[1]赛迪智库工业经济研究所,北京100048 [2]北京大学,北京100871

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2016年第11期12-17,共6页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金课题"中国战略性矿产资源国际话语权研究"(项目编号:14CGJ018);北京大学世界新能源战略研究中心第四期资助课题"中国车用替代燃料大规模应用可行性研究"(项目编号:201414)

摘　　要：甲醇究竟是不是优良的车用替代燃料、甲醇汽车能否规模化应用一直是当前中国政府、汽车产业、燃料生产企业密切关注的问题。本文将从甲醇汽车排放性能、相关技术、运营成本等方面进行技术经济评价,同时从资源供应、市场区位增长空间、配套产业发展三方面探讨甲醇汽车规模应用的可行性。研究表明:甲醇汽车的排放性、技术性能、经济性良好;同时规模化发展具备资源长期可供、市场增长空间巨大、配套产业容易发展三方面竞争优势,甲醇燃料及甲醇汽车规模应用对于缓解油气需求压力、在交通领域节能减排、发展中国特色新能源汽车产业具有重要意义。At present,Chinese government,automotive industry and fuel producers pay close attention to superiority and large- scale development of methanol fueled vehicle. This article will make technical and economic evaluation to methanol- fueled vehicle,which includes the emissions performance,the technology of methanol fueled vehicle and its operating costs,and further discuss the feasibility of large- scale application from three aspects,which includes the resource availability,the growth of regional market and the development of supporting industries. The study shows that methanol- fueled vehicle has good performance in terms of emission,economy and technology. Meanwhile,it has competitive advantage in the long- term availability of methanol,the growth of regional market and the ease of supporting industries. It is feasible to develop methanol as substitute fuel in large-scale,and it will promote energy saving and emission reduction in China＇ s transportation sector. Meanwhile,it has great significance of developing new energy vehicles with Chinese characteristics.

关 键 词：甲醇汽车 替代燃料 节能减排 全生命周期 技术经济 

分 类 号：F062.4[经济管理—政治经济学]