不完全信息下的反TBM威胁评估  

Threat Assessment in Anti-TBM Combat with Incomplete Information

作　　者：徐浩[1] 邢清华[1] 黄兴[2] 王莎[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学防空反导学院 [2]中国人民解放军94907部队

出　　处：《电光与控制》2016年第11期47-51,共5页Electronics Optics & Control

摘　　要：针对现有反TBM威胁评估方法很难在指标信息不完全的情况下进行评估的问题,提出了一种基于证据推理的反TBM威胁评估方法。对处于助推段飞行TBM的威胁评估影响因素进行了深入分析,建立了相应的威胁评估层次结构模型,并分析了指标信息不完全的问题;将证据推理方法应用于不完全信息下的反TBM威胁评估,给出了相应的方法步骤;通过算例分析,证明了所提方法可有效解决指标信息不完全的反TBM威胁评估问题。Considering that it is difficult to make threat assessment in anti-TBM （Tactical Ballistic Missile） combat with incomplete index information by using the existing threat assessment methods, a threat assessment method based on Evidential Reasoning （ER） was proposed. First, the threat assessment factors of TBM in boost phase were analyzed, the hierarchical structure model for threat assessment was constructed, and analysis was made to the issue of incomplete index information. Then, the ER method was applied to conduct threat assessment in anti-TBM combat with incomplete index information, and the detailed steps of the method were put forward. At last, analysis of examples showed that the proposed method can deal with the threat assessment problem in anti-TBM combat effectively.

关 键 词：反战术弹道导弹 威胁评估 不完全信息 证据推理 

分 类 号：E911[军事]