科技脆弱性内涵、评价与调控——基于山东省的实证研究  

Science and Technology Vulnerability's Connotation,Evaluation and Regulation Based on the Empirical Research in Shandong Province

作　　者：刘凯[1] 任建兰[1] 孙雪[2] 安祥生[3] 

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学地理与环境学院,山东济南250014 [2]山东英才学院,山东济南250104 [3]太原师范学院管理系,山西太原030012

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2016年第21期74-78,共5页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"供需要素视角下生态脆弱型人地系统可持续性评估与空间均衡研究"(41571525);"晋西北城镇化农民非农可持续生计与土地流转"(41271143)

摘　　要：把脆弱性研究范式引入科技评价领域,在分析科技脆弱性内涵基础上,从敏感性和恢复性两方面建立指标体系,运用函数模型法对2000—2014年山东省科技脆弱性进行综合评价,得到如下结论:敏感性保持在较低水平且变化趋势不明显;恢复性总体呈现持续上升趋势;脆弱性经历了一个"先上升、再下降、后上升"的演变过程,以降低为主导趋势,科技系统遭受的不利影响和损害可能性较低。根据科技系统自身特点,从降低科技敏感性和提高科技恢复性两方面提出调控措施。Vulnerability research paradigm is applied to science and technology evaluation based on vulnerability＇ s connotation. Evaluation indicator system is built from sensibility and recoverability. Science and technology vulnerability of Shandong Province in 2000 -2014 is evaluated. The results show as follows： （ 1 ） Sensibility index kept at a lower level and the change trend was not pronounced; （2） Recoverability index presented an increasing trend; （3） Vulnerability index experienced an evolution process of ＂rise, decline and rise＂ and the major trend was declining, which explained science and technology＇ s negative influence and damage probability was low. The regulation measures were put forward from reducing science and technology vulnerability and increasing science and technology recoverability.

关 键 词：科技脆弱性 科技评价 脆弱性调控 山东省 

分 类 号：G322.7[文化科学]