台湾政党再轮替后两岸经济关系走向探析  

The Future Trend of Cross-Strait Economic Relations After the Party Alternation in Taiwan

作　　者：张冠华[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院台湾研究所 [2]两岸关系和平发展研究中心学术委员会

出　　处：《台湾研究》2016年第5期1-8,共8页Taiwan Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目<全球经济变局下推进两岸经济融合发展研究>(批准号:15AJL010)前期研究成果

摘　　要：民进党重新执政后未明确承认"九二共识",两岸经济合作机制与平台面临坍塌,两岸相互经贸政策将由良性互动转向博弈,岛内社会对两岸经济合作的看法也产生复杂变化。同时,全球经济与两岸变局使两岸经济关系步入新的转型期,出现市场动能转换、产业竞合、利益分配等新问题,有赖于通过更高水平的制度化合作来加以解决。政经因素的叠加冲击,将延长两岸经济关系转型"阵痛期",对台湾经济与两岸关系均将产生不利影响。After returning to power, DPP does not clearly accept ＂1992 consensus＂, and this results in the breaking down of cross-Strait economic cooperation mechanism and platform, the cross-Strait economic and trade policy turning from benign interaction to game playing, and Taiwan society taking some complicated ideas on cross-Strait economic cooperation. At the same time, the global economic change and cross-Strait relations change make the cross-Strait economic relations step into a new transition period, followed by some new problems including energy transformation, industrial competition and cooperation, profits distribution and so on. All of these problems need to be solved by higher level institutional cooperation. The political and economic shock would be added up, would extend cross-Strait economic transformation ＂pain period＂, and would cause negative effect on Taiwan economic development and cross-Strait relations.

关 键 词：民进党执政 两岸经济关系 政经挑战 未来走向 

分 类 号：D618[政治法律—政治学]