山西省产业结构与经济增长的灰色关联度分析——基于面板数据  

Grey Correlation Analysis between Industrial Structure and Economic Growth in Shanxi Province——Based on Panel Data

作　　者：李燕[1] 陈龙梅[1] 何耀宇[1] 赵国叶[2] 

机构地区：[1]太原理工大学经济管理学院,山西太原030024 [2]山西医科大学第一医院财务处,山西太原030001

出　　处：《太原理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第5期39-44,共6页Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：山西省软科学项目"工业新型化背景下山西省综改区产业结构的调整与优化"(2013041010-03);"生态位理论视角下山西煤炭产业集群转型跨越发展研究"(2013041015-02);"构建山西省科技创新金融支持体系研究"(2014041050-1);2016年山西省哲学社会科学规划课题"山西省煤基低碳科技创新的资金效率研究"

摘　　要：选取2009-2013年山西省11个地级市的面板数据,采用灰色关联度分析方法,对山西省产业结构与经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明,山西省经济增长严重依赖第二产业,产业结构不合理状况亟待改善;三次产业对经济增长的拉动作用均在放缓;各地级市产业结构差异化明显,传统的煤炭资源密集地区经济增长动力不足。综合以上,山西省应当利用区域优势资源,适当提高服务业等新兴产业的投资,着力培养具有地方特色的主导产业。Based on the panel data from 11 prefectural level cities in Shanxi province from 2009to2013,this paper makes an empirical analysis about the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth by using the method of grey correlation analysis.According to its results,the economic growth in Shanxi is heavily dependent on the second industry;its unreasonable industrial structure needs to be improved urgently;the third industry has slowed down its pulling effect on the economic growth;there are significant industrial structure differences among prefectural level cities;the economic growth momentum is insufficient in the traditional coal resource intensive regions.So Shanxi Province should take advantage of its advantageous regional resources,appropriately improve its investment in the services and other emerging industries,and focus on cultivating the leading industries with local characteristics.

关 键 词：产业结构 经济增长 灰色关联度分析法 面板数据 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]