禽流感风险下肉鸡养殖户封闭饲养行为研究  

Broiler farmers' behavior of enclosed feeding under the risk of avian influenza

作　　者：黄泽颖[1] 王济民[1] 冉娟[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081 [2]新疆农业职业技术学院经济贸易分院,新疆昌吉831100

出　　处：《中国农业大学学报》2016年第11期127-135,共9页Journal of China Agricultural University

基　　金：现代农业产业技术体系建设专项资金(CARS-42-G24);中国农业科学院科技创新工程(ASTIP-IAED-2015-01);清华大学中国农村研究院博士论文奖学金项目

摘　　要：为了解养殖户是否在建筑和管理两方面做好封闭饲养及其影响因素,通过收集全国331个肉鸡养殖户的调查问卷发现,仅有26.89%的养殖户实现封闭饲养,尚有大部分养殖户缺乏执行封闭饲养的自觉性。采用Logit模型研究结果表明,年龄、养殖规模、政府规划过的养殖小区、懂防疫的雇员比重和风险偏好等因素的影响显著,其中养殖规模的影响最大,通过1%水平的显著性检验呈正相关。当养殖户年轻化、养殖规模化、为政府规划过的养殖小区、雇佣防疫专员比重大和厌恶风险,则倾向于采用封闭饲养。最后结合调研结果相应提出政策建议。An survey was carried out on whether farmers do well or not in enclosed feeding in terms of building and management and their influence factors.The result showed that there were only 26.89% of farmers carrying out enclosed feeding but most farmers are lacking of consciousness on enclosed feeding at present by collecting 331questionnaires;The significant influencing factors were farmers＇ age,farm＇s breeding scale,the breeding community regulated by government,the proportion of the employees who understand epidemic prevention and risk preference.Among them,the influence of breeding scale was the most significant factor at P 〈1% level and had positive correlation.When the farmer＇s age was young,feeding scale was large,breeding community was regulated by government,the high proportion of employees understanding epidemic prevention was high,and farmers averse of risk,the intention of farmers to carry out enclosed feeding was high.Relevant policy suggestions were put forward base on this study.

关 键 词：禽流感风险 封闭饲养 封闭式鸡舍 人员流动限制 LOGIT模型 

分 类 号：F307.3[经济管理—产业经济]