我国制造业与物流业耦合协调的时空演化分析  

Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Evolution of Coupling Coordination between Manufacturing and Logistics Industry in China

作　　者：弓宪文[1] 王勇[2] GONG Xian-wen WANG Yong(Chongqing University of Education, Chongqing 400065, China School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400030, China)

机构地区：[1]重庆第二师范学院,重庆400065 [2]重庆大学经济与工商管理学院,重庆400030

出　　处：《技术经济与管理研究》2016年第7期8-12,共5页Journal of Technical Economics & Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71272085);重庆市社会科学规划项目(2014YBJJ036);重庆市教委人文社科研究项目(15SKG196)

摘　　要：制造业和物流业具有较高的产业关联度,两业协调发展对于调整产业结构、转变发展方式具有重要意义。文章基于耦合理论和协同理论构建制造业与物流业耦合协调模型,以全国31个省区2003-2013年间两业发展数据为样本,对其耦合协调发展进行了实证研究。结果表明,从时序演化看,我国两业耦合协调度在上升的过程中经历了若干波动,总体呈现从低度耦合协调向中、高度耦合协调发展的演化趋势。从空间分异看,我国各省区两业耦合协调发展水平不平衡,存在较大的地域差异。研究从系统论的视角指出,应从制造业、物流业、政府及外部环境着手,提升两业联动的耦合协调发展水平。Manufacturing and logistics industry are connected closely , and the interactive development between these two industr-ies is of great significance to adjust and optimize the industrial structure , change the mode of economic development. Base on the cou-pling theory and synergetic theory, a coupling synergetic model of manufacturing and logistics industry is built in the paper, and then an empirical study is made about the coupling synergetic development of these two industries in China by the panel data , which are from 31 provinces overall the nation from 2003 to 2013. From the timing distribution , the coupling synergetic degree between manufac-turing and logistics industry shows an upward tendency with a number of fluctuations in the period of 2003-2013. From the spatial distribution, coupling synergetic level between these two industries in each province in China is unbalanced and shows larger geogra-phical differences. Measurements should be taken to promote coupling synergetic development of these two industries from manufacturing industry, logistics industry, government and external environment aspects.

关 键 词：物流业 制造业 产业结构 空间分异 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济]