湖南省农业产业安全评价——基于因子分析和模糊综合评价法  

Safety Assessment of Hunan Agricultural Industry——Based on Factor Analysis and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

作　　者：肖文兴[1] 马永军[2] 张德容[2] 刘善球[3] 

机构地区：[1]湖南工业大学商学院,湖南株洲412007 [2]湖南工业大学经济与贸易学院,湖南株洲412007 [3]湖南工业大学高等教育研究所,湖南株洲412007

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2016年第30期202-206,共5页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：2015年湖南省科技项目计划软科学研究计划-面上项目"湖南农业产业安全评估与预警研究"(2015ZK3030)

摘　　要：构建了基于"四力"模型的农业产业安全新指标体系,利用新型隶属函数下的模糊综合评价方法,对2001—2013年湖南省农业产业安全进行评价。结果表明:湖南省农业产业安全度一直处于"基本安全"及以上区间,其中,2010、2011年处于"安全"区间,2013年处于"很安全"区间,其余年份均属于"基本安全"区间;农业产业生成力指数、竞争力指数和依存力指数一直处于"基本安全"及以上状态,而农业产业控制力指数则存在从"基本安全"状态向"不安全"状态转变的趋势。因此,必须加快农业产业创新进程,提高农产品出口质量,尤其要对外资进入和外资并购控股制定更为严格的市场机制,提高农业产业控制力,为农业产业安全提供有力保障。Through constructing ＂four force＂ index system and using new membership function of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model, agriculture industry security in Hunan Province during 2001 -2013 was evaluated. The results showed that the safety degree of Hunan agricultural industry has been in a ＂essential safety＂ and above range. Among them,the degree of safety in 2010 arid 2011 is ＂safe＂ and 2013 is ＂very safe＂ ,the rest of year is in ＂essential safety＂ range. Agricultural industry generated force index and competitiveness index and dependent force index has been in a state of ＂essential safety＂ and above ,while the agricultural industry control index exists the trend from the state of ＂essential safety＂ to ＂unsafe＂ status. So the agricultural industry innovation process must be speed up,the quality of agricultural exports should Continually improve, stricter market mechanism for foreign investment,foreign mergers and a holding should be formulated. In this way the agricultural industry control can be strengthened and the agricultural industry security can be guaranteed.

关 键 词：农业产业安全 “四力”模型 模糊综合评价 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学] F320.1[经济管理—产业经济]