地铁建设项目施工风险评价研究——以福州地铁1号线项目为例  

Construction risk evaluation for subway construction projects:Taking Fuzhou subway line 1 as an example

作　　者：陈美华[1] 李杰[1] Chen Meihua Li Jie(School of Management, Fujian University of Technology, Fuzhou 350118, China)

机构地区：[1]福建工程学院管理学院,福建福州350118

出　　处：《福建工程学院学报》2016年第4期398-402,共5页Journal of Fujian University of Technology

基　　金：福建省科技厅软科学项目(2015R0003);福建工程学院科研启动项目(GY-Z13041);福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAS160341)

摘　　要：通过问卷调查对福州地铁1号线施工风险因素进行识别,从外界环境、施工管理、施工技术、施工人员4个方面建立地铁施工风险评价指标体系。采用有序加权平均算法(OWA算法)求解评价指标的权重,通过计算各级风险评价指标的数学期望值法对地铁施工风险进行评价。最后根据各级风险评价指标的数学期望值排查主要风险因素,提出加强地铁施工风险管控的措施。Questionnaires investigation was conducted to identify the risk factors of Fuzhou subway line 1. An index system of subway construction risk evaluation was established from the four aspects of external environment,construction management,construction technology and construction personnel. Ordered weight average（ OWA） algorithm was used to resolve the weight of evaluation indexes.The mathematical expectation method of calculating risk evaluation indexes was adopted to evaluate the subway construction risks. Finally,the main risk factors were determined via the mathematical expectation method of calculating risk assessment indicators. Approaches to strengthen the risk management and control of the subway construction were proposed.

关 键 词：地铁 施工风险 风险评价 OWA算法 数学期望值 

分 类 号：U231.3[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]