对外贸易、FDI与环境污染的动态关系——基于PVAR模型的研究  

Dynamic Relationship between Foreign Trade, FDI and Environmental Pollution: An Analysis with PVAR Model

作　　者：钟凯扬[1] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学岭南学院,广东广州510275

出　　处：《生态经济》2016年第12期58-64,共7页Ecological Economy

摘　　要：基于PVAR模型,采用我国近20年的省际面板数据研究对外贸易、FDI和环境污染的动态关系,为提高分析结果的稳健性,采用工业三废为污染指标。研究结果表明:对外贸易带动了环境污染,并有多期滞后影响;FDI对环境的直接影响较小,但通过带动对外贸易增长,间接增加了环境污染;近20年对外贸易和FDI对环境污染的总体效应较小,但污染排放具有较强惯性,当期排放会有多期影响,而且长期来看对FDI和对外贸易有一定抑制作用。With PVAR model, this paper uses China＇s provincial panel data in the past two decades to research the dynamic relationship between foreign trade, FDI and environmental pollution. To make the results more robust, industrial waste gas, industrial waste water and industrial solid waste are used as pollution indexes. The results reveal that： foreign trade increases pollution and the influence has lag effects; FDI has little direct influence on pollution, but it still has indirect influence by boosting foreign trade; the overall influence of foreign trade and FDI on pollution is small in the past two decades, but pollution emission has strong inertia and current pollution has lag effects, moreover, pollution is inclined to suppress FDI and foreign trade in the long run.

关 键 词：对外贸易 FDI 环境污染 PVAR 

分 类 号：F741.2[经济管理—国际贸易]